Zombie Stocks Under the Microscope: How Much Risk Do Heavily Indebted Companies Hide? | Opinion by Fernando Boudourian

Gráfico ilustrativo sobre empresas zombis: compañías ultraendeudadas que cotizan en bolsa sin generar beneficios operativos suficientes.

Understanding the “zombie” landscape is essential for making the right investment decisions. Here’s a breakdown of the key characteristics of these risky assets.

With high interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and a global economic recovery progressing at uneven speeds, attention is shifting back to a phenomenon that, while not new, is gaining renewed relevance: so-called “zombie stocks.”

This term refers to the shares of companies that survive only through constant borrowing. As financing conditions tighten and market risks increase, these investments are once again under scrutiny.

The Risk Behind Zombie Companies and Their Stocks

Zombie companies are businesses that, despite operating and trading on stock exchanges, do not generate enough operating profits to cover their financial interest payments. They “survive” by continuously refinancing their debt.

Due to these characteristics, zombie companies present structural fragility and pose a systemic risk when their presence in the market becomes significant.

In this context, the existence of zombie firms can distort market dynamics on several levels. Economically, they can lead to misallocation of capital, absorbing resources that could otherwise go to more productive or innovative enterprises.

Moreover, they often generate unfair competition by pushing prices downward in sectors where their competitors operate with healthy profit margins, ultimately discouraging investment in those areas.

From a financial perspective, the main threat is contagion. Zombie stocks are often held in diversified portfolios or included in exchange-traded funds (ETFs), increasing retail and institutional investors’ exposure to these fragile companies.

In such a scenario, a wave of defaults could trigger mass selloffs, downward pressure on asset prices, and a domino effect that spills over into higher-quality assets, causing broader instability.

Is There a Place for Zombie Stocks in an Investment Portfolio?

Despite the risks, not all analysts rule out zombie stocks as viable investments. Specialized fund managers focusing on distressed or special situation assets argue that, with deep and selective analysis, it’s possible to find value in companies that have resilient business models but are facing temporary liquidity issues.

However, this approach involves significant risk and demands a strong grasp of corporate balance sheets and strategic fundamentals. For the average investor—particularly retail—zombie stocks often become value traps rather than real opportunities.

According to financial analyst Fernando Boudourian, it’s essential to understand broader economic trends and have a solid strategy when navigating this complex investment environment.

Regulatory Concerns and the Future of Zombie Companies

Zombie companies also stir debate in the regulatory space. Some central banks warn that the proliferation of these firms could erode overall productivity and hinder long-term economic growth.

As a result, there are voices calling for greater market discipline through rising interest rates, which could act as a natural filter, encouraging mergers, acquisitions, or orderly liquidations.

Yet this transition carries its own set of risks. Sector-specific unemployment, capital losses, and shocks to the corporate bond market are all variables that regulators must monitor carefully to avoid a chaotic correction that threatens financial stability.

While zombie stocks may have flown under the radar or even delivered speculative returns in the past, the current environment of higher rates and tighter capital allocation is exposing the structural weaknesses of many such companies.

Final Thoughts: Caution, Analysis, and Real Fundamentals

Given this backdrop, investors must strengthen their approach to fundamental analysis, diversify their portfolios wisely, and implement robust risk management strategies.

The continued growth of zombie companies in today’s market raises serious concerns about the limits of leverage and underscores the importance of an economy backed by real, sustainable fundamentals.

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